International Energy Agency News

IEA Sees China Oil Demand Peaking in 2027; Russia Supports OPEC+ Output Hikes Ahead of JMMC Meeting

23 days ago

Middle East

Energy

Environment

Iran Says Gas Dispute With Iraq Nears Resolution

3 hours ago

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.51%chance

317104503

OptionVotes

YES

1173

837

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

213754

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?

Feb 28, 4:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.09%chance

283450

OptionVotes

YES

1102

940

Will a global AI watchdog be set up in London, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency, by Jan 1 2026?

Jun 3, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.09%chance

181589

OptionVotes

YES

1860

659

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

43.83%chance

161022

OptionVotes

YES

1087

856

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

35.23%chance

21761

OptionVotes

YES

213

183

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak in or by 2025?

Oct 12, 3:22 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

41.38%chance

17650

OptionVotes

YES

209

140

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

249

137

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

67.47%chance

8119

OptionVotes

YES

144

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6105

OptionProbability

Other

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM

5100

OptionProbability

Other

France

Ukraine

Russia

Pakistan

China

India

Japan

Belgium

United States

North Korea

Iran

In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?

Apr 10, 8:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

100

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International Energy Agency News

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Prediction markets for International Energy Agency

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Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?

Will a global AI watchdog be set up in London, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency, by Jan 1 2026?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak in or by 2025?

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?

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