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Prediction markets for International Energy Agency
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
52%chance
326121196
OptionVotes
1004
972
OptionVotes
3793
126
OptionVotes
3840
260
Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?
Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
223816
OptionProbability
99
95
95
80
80
72
55
54
53
49
44
43
38
36
31
15
Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?
Feb 28, 4:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20.77%chance
313810
OptionVotes
1067
949
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?
May 13, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.36%chance
182634
OptionVotes
3311
302
OptionProbability
33
26
24
7
4
2
2
1
0
0
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM
39.81%chance
241737
OptionVotes
1021
948
OptionVotes
331
30
Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?
Mar 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.9%chance
8201
OptionVotes
182
55
In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?
Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM
5100
OptionProbability
49
12
8
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
OptionProbability
32
27
10
10
10
10
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