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Prediction markets for International Energy Agency
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
59.51%chance
317104503
OptionVotes
1173
837
Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?
Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
213754
OptionProbability
99
95
95
80
80
72
62
55
55
50
45
44
41
37
34
17
Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?
Feb 28, 4:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20.09%chance
283450
OptionVotes
1102
940
Will a global AI watchdog be set up in London, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency, by Jan 1 2026?
Jun 3, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.09%chance
181589
OptionVotes
1860
659
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM
43.83%chance
161022
OptionVotes
1087
856
Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?
Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
35.23%chance
21761
OptionVotes
213
183
Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak in or by 2025?
Oct 12, 3:22 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM
41.38%chance
17650
OptionVotes
209
140
Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?
Mar 11, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.8%chance
5252
OptionVotes
249
137
OptionVotes
144
69
OptionProbability
56
14
10
5
5
5
5
In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?
Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM
5100
OptionProbability
27
15
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?
Apr 10, 8:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
100
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