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Prediction markets for International Trade
Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?
Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60%chance
602925
OptionVotes
1337
880
Will legal international trade in recreational cannabis happen before 2034?
Jan 2, 2:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
76.83%chance
202334
OptionVotes
731
97
Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.24%chance
481579
OptionVotes
1411
568
OptionVotes
1130
931
OptionVotes
1412
689
Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?
Dec 30, 9:54 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
80%chance
411356
OptionVotes
1274
898
Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2043
Sep 15, 11:31 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
30.44%chance
15681
OptionVotes
1014
940
OptionVotes
1063
784
Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?
Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM
59.42%chance
5410
OptionVotes
1210
826
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
May 1, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.12%chance
6340
OptionVotes
1055
961
Will the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Feb 2, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19%chance
7141
OptionVotes
206
48
Will the USITC issue a final affirmative injury determination on unwrought palladium from Russia by Sep 30, 2026?
Feb 16, 5:48 PMSep 29, 5:48 PM
72.2%chance
278
OptionVotes
1078
968
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