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Prediction markets for International Trade
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.74%chance
3437147
OptionVotes
135189
102092
OptionVotes
8197
4237
OptionVotes
10172
3439
Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?
Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60%chance
602925
OptionVotes
1337
880
Will legal international trade in recreational cannabis happen before 2034?
Jan 2, 2:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
76.83%chance
202334
OptionVotes
731
97
Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.4%chance
481669
OptionVotes
1285
658
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
May 1, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.63%chance
101450
OptionVotes
1567
390
OptionVotes
1130
931
OptionVotes
1412
689
Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2043
Sep 15, 11:31 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
30.44%chance
15681
OptionVotes
1014
940
Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?
Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM
59.42%chance
5410
OptionVotes
1210
826
Will the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Feb 2, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.14%chance
9159
OptionVotes
212
47
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