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Top stories

Democrats Consider Mini National Convention Before 2026 Midterms to Energize Voters Amid Struggles Against Trump

Democrats Consider Mini National Convention Before 2026 Midterms to Energize Voters Amid Struggles Against Trump

Authors

9

1 year ago

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

Authors

20

1 year ago

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

US Gov Appointments

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

Authors

5

11 months ago

Iowa Democrats Consider Going Rogue to Lead 2028 Primary After Losing Early Spot in 2024

Authors

5

1 year ago

63% Democrats Oppose Gerrymandering; Back California’s Redistricting Response as Texas Advances Maps; Iowa Eyes Rogue 2028 Caucuses

Authors

17

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Iowa Democrats

Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?

Dec 30, 3:48 AMJan 25, 3:43 AM

1715867

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Third Party/Other

65

35

0

Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026?

Feb 11, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

173184

OptionProbability

Democrats win both senate and governor

Democrats don’t win senate or governor

Democrats win governor ONLY

Democrats win senate ONLY

41

31

26

2

Which state will host the first Democratic presidential primary in the 2028 election?

Jul 23, 4:56 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

72106

OptionProbability

South Carolina

New Hampshire

Michigan

Georgia

North Carolina

Tennessee

Virginia

New Mexico

Illinois

Other

Nevada

Iowa

Delaware

93

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Jan 24, 6:16 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

52.75%chance

21716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

114

Will Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?

Feb 6, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.58%chance

23593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

Which Iowa congressional districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 18, 7:23 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

11357

OptionProbability

Iowa's 3rd Congressional District

Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Iowa's 2nd Congressional District

Iowa's 4th Congressional District

65

64

47

4

Who will win the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses?

Mar 10, 10:48 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

11321

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

No one

Wes Moore

23

18

11

9

9

7

5

5

5

4

2

2

If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.91%chance

8292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will a Democrat win Iowa for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:37 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

53.46%chance

4106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

106

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Gov Appointments
Politics
Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026
Authors
5
11 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Democrats Consider Mini National Convention Before 2026 Midterms to Energize Voters Amid Struggles Against Trump
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift
Authors
20
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
US Elections
US Legislation
Politics
63% Democrats Oppose Gerrymandering; Back California’s Redistricting Response as Texas Advances Maps; Iowa Eyes Rogue 2028 Caucuses
Authors
17
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Iowa Democrats Consider Going Rogue to Lead 2028 Primary After Losing Early Spot in 2024
Authors
5
1 year ago

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