OptionProbability
Democrat
Republican
Third Party/Other
63
36
1
Democrats win both senate and governor
Democrats don’t win senate or governor
Democrats win governor ONLY
Democrats win senate ONLY
37
33
27
3
OptionVotes
NO
YES
135
102
152
66
Other
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
Tim Walz
Cory Booker
Gretchen Whitmer
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
JB Pritzker
Kamala Harris
No one
Wes Moore
23
18
11
9
7
5
4
2
Iowa's 1st Congressional District
Iowa's 3rd Congressional District
Iowa's 2nd Congressional District
Iowa's 4th Congressional District
69
64
50
120
83
114
106
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