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Top stories

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Authors

7

9 months ago

Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

18802671489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22874

6135

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Mar 3, 4:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

20574090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1961

323

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24%chance

19155378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8691

3336

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.97%chance

8831716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11531

1939

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

879459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7055

5411

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

37.06%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

80

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

85%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Energy
Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary
Authors
7
9 months ago

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