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Top stories

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Authors

7

4 months ago

Prediction markets for IRA

Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?

Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.06%chance

344277630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5151

118

Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025

Dec 7, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.37%chance

395252697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7187

273

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.59%chance

358139358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50578

7101

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

52.77%chance

103119381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

946

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Jun 10, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.16%chance

115104825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87160

4383

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Mar 3, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

599917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

561

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Jun 22, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3.32%chance

221273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

540

19

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

3400

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

41

17

17

17

8

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

58.99%chance

11379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

105

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.21%chance

10264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

145

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Energy
Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary
Authors
7
4 months ago

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