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Prediction markets for IRA
OptionVotes
22557
6183
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24148516
OptionProbability
99
1
Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Mar 3, 4:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.27%chance
20674100
OptionVotes
1971
320
OptionVotes
8691
3336
OptionVotes
11964
1860
OptionVotes
7055
5411
OptionProbability
54
23
11
8
4
Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?
Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.38%chance
10425
OptionVotes
257
183
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?
Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
37.06%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
80
Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027
Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?
Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?
Apr 7, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
85%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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