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Top stories

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Authors

7

6 months ago

Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.27%chance

10001125410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11869

8835

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

56.47%chance

161342158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

878

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

26.98%chance

3013365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1645

608

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.66%chance

5510864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7931

2959

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

Jul 7, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.29%chance

397272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1314

762

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

What will happen first in Iran?

Jan 6, 10:44 PMJan 7, 10:43 PM

13790

OptionProbability

US or Israel attacks Iran

Khamenei is out as Ayatollah

80

20

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

58.99%chance

11379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

105

Spirit Awards: Best Director

Jan 23, 12:38 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

4144

OptionProbability

Ira Sachs - Peter Hujar’s Day

Clint Bentley - Train Dreams

Mary Bronstein - If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Lloyd Lee Choi - Lucky Lu

Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby

30

23

17

17

14

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Energy
Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary
Authors
7
6 months ago

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