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Prediction markets for IRA
OptionVotes
47096
4106
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
21.61%chance
211376761
OptionVotes
1906
525
OptionVotes
15965
2023
OptionVotes
8270
4949
OptionProbability
53
35
5
5
2
Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?
Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.38%chance
10425
OptionVotes
257
183
OptionProbability
20
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?
Apr 7, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
69.06%chance
115
OptionVotes
115
45
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?
Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
37.06%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
80
Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027
Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?
Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?
May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
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