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Top stories

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Authors

106

8 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Authors

5

9 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

8 months ago

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets

Authors

6

9 months ago

IRGC Conducts Ballistic Missile Readiness Drill; Israel Intercepts Houthi Hypersonic Missile, Strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid China-Iran Missile Concerns

Authors

14

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 1, 2:59 PMJun 10, 11:59 PM

81.91%chance

20859486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2957

561

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.15%chance

286282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

831

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

13.02%chance

201921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2585

387

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

65.39%chance

331214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.66%chance

20433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

51

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

39.52%chance

12416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

384

324

Will Iranian Minister of Interior Eskandar Momeni still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 21, 5:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

88.98%chance

12342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

35

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.95%chance

8215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

47

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

10154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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