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Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks
Authors
106
1 year ago
Middle East
War
Politics
Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike
Authors
5
1 year ago
Middle East
Politics
World
Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids
Authors
5
1 year ago
Middle East
War
Politics
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets
Authors
6
1 year ago
Middle East
War
Politics
IRGC Conducts Ballistic Missile Readiness Drill; Israel Intercepts Houthi Hypersonic Missile, Strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid China-Iran Missile Concerns
Authors
14
1 year ago
Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Mar 11, 3:15 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
80.53%
chance
39
9304
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2034
492
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
Mar 7, 12:40 AM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
9.5%
chance
24
2503
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3086
324
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
Jan 5, 3:23 PM
Jan 1, 3:20 PM
77.84%
chance
34
1266
Option
Votes
NO
YES
188
53
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
Jan 13, 1:35 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
10.48%
chance
28
869
Option
Votes
YES
NO
292
34
Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?
Apr 3, 7:40 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
48.17%
chance
16
737
Option
Votes
NO
YES
378
315
Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
Aug 29, 3:33 PM
Oct 1, 12:00 AM
81.87%
chance
25
687
Option
Votes
NO
YES
206
21
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Apr 7, 3:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11.97%
chance
14
386
Option
Votes
YES
NO
271
37
Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
Jun 11, 3:52 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.48%
chance
4
230
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1014
770
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45%
chance
11
156
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?
Jun 21, 8:56 PM
Jun 21, 8:54 PM
62.81%
chance
5
85
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
77
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