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Top stories

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Authors

106

7 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Authors

5

7 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

7 months ago

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets

Authors

6

7 months ago

IRGC Conducts Ballistic Missile Readiness Drill; Israel Intercepts Houthi Hypersonic Missile, Strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid China-Iran Missile Concerns

Authors

14

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 1, 2:59 PMJun 10, 11:59 PM

36.59%chance

9221782

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

974

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

2.05%chance

383057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

691

14

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Mar 3, 7:40 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

1.69%chance

232263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

763

13

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.55%chance

182209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

711

Will Iran launch the 100th wave of missile/drone strike under "Operation True Promise 4" before March 27?

Mar 18, 1:30 AMMar 26, 3:59 AM

19.94%chance

251959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

15.16%chance

191786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2366

423

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

62.83%chance

321122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?

Mar 11, 11:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

22.71%chance

201087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

54

Will US take control of Strait of Hormuz before April 1st?

Mar 15, 5:52 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

8.27%chance

21724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

30

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will Iranian Minister of Interior Eskandar Momeni still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 21, 5:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

10209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.6%chance

10139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

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