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Top stories

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Authors

106

10 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Authors

5

10 months ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

10 months ago

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets

Authors

6

10 months ago

IRGC Conducts Ballistic Missile Readiness Drill; Israel Intercepts Houthi Hypersonic Missile, Strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid China-Iran Missile Concerns

Authors

14

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75.97%chance

358230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1778

562

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

12.19%chance

202021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2685

373

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

75.9%chance

341256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

56

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30%chance

22634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

29.82%chance

13556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

489

269

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.28%chance

10320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

10154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?

Jun 11, 3:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.42%chance

3130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

670

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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