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Top stories

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Australia Expels Iranian Envoy, Moves to Blacklist IRGC Over Arson Attacks

Authors

106

1 year ago

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike

Authors

5

1 year ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

1 year ago

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets

Authors

6

1 year ago

IRGC Conducts Ballistic Missile Readiness Drill; Israel Intercepts Houthi Hypersonic Missile, Strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid China-Iran Missile Concerns

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

84.59%chance

439809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2343

427

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

11.73%chance

252970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2743

365

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

79.58%chance

341276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

51

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

311019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

377

27

Will Iran strike US military base at least once before December?

Oct 31, 2:22 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

56.25%chance

14989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

41.12%chance

16792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

334

Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?

Jun 11, 3:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.29%chance

9568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1295

7

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.97%chance

14386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

11156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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