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Prediction markets for Jackson State
In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]
Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.14%chance
262675
OptionVotes
1734
866
Will Jeff Jackson become President of the United States?
Feb 8, 1:09 AMDec 15, 12:59 PM
13.3%chance
24993
OptionVotes
1249
932
Will the next company founded by Elon Musk be incorporated in Delaware?
Jan 31, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.42%chance
12962
OptionVotes
1526
894
In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]
Nov 29, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.93%chance
8658
OptionVotes
408
51
Will Disney+’s Percy Jackson cover all 5 books before being cancelled?
Apr 2, 2:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.5%chance
24596
OptionVotes
1115
910
Will Charter Cities / Affinity Cities / Network States get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 3:11 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
26.9%chance
10282
OptionVotes
409
180
The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 5 years
May 4, 7:06 PMMay 4, 7:05 PM
41.85%chance
5190
OptionVotes
93
86
Will someone convince me of ANYTHING that contradicts my (essentially mainstream) knowledge of COVID before 2026?
Jan 1, 1:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
70.24%chance
598
OptionVotes
173
66
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