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Prediction markets for Japan Post
When will human literary translators become unnecessary?
Dec 11, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
6.66%chance
232178
OptionProbability
2153
949
Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025 (58)?
Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.75%chance
9636
OptionVotes
1484
674
Will it ever be confirmed India has a greater >125 IQ population than Japan?
May 9, 2:28 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
8.04%chance
7582
OptionVotes
373
93
Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.22%chance
5317
OptionVotes
815
397
OptionVotes
137
73
Global poverty: Will world life expectancy increase to <5 years of the leading large country's life expectancy by 2050?
Jan 29, 7:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.83%chance
8167
OptionVotes
204
147
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
19.77%chance
245
OptionVotes
105
75
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
35.86%chance
345
OptionVotes
134
75
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt
Mar 30, 9:42 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
91.31%chance
441
OptionVotes
101
92
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 50 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
82.52%chance
125
OptionVotes
125
94
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 100 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
3%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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