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Top stories

Big Tech’s ‘Reverse Acquihires’ Drain AI Startups of Talent

Authors

16

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Japan Times

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.42%chance

205750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5315

188

Will Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?

Feb 7, 8:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.89%chance

122597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1360

736

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

924

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2085?

Aug 29, 8:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.63%chance

231308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

972

Will @mayaofspring pass JLPT N1 in December 2026?

May 17, 1:01 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

52.87%chance

51146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

944

Will Russia rejoin G7/G8 before EOY 2050?

Jun 12, 3:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.5%chance

15800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

932

Will a new element be discovered before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

7767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

805

Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025 (58)?

Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.75%chance

9636

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1484

674

will my taiwanese grandma (86) pass away before china invades taiwan?

Feb 26, 12:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

65.25%chance

6583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Will Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?

Jan 5, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.01%chance

13414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

840

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will life expectancy in any prefectures of Japan reach 90 years before end of 2040?

May 30, 12:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

54.5%chance

3105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

914

Latest stories

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
VC
Business
AI
Big Tech’s ‘Reverse Acquihires’ Drain AI Startups of Talent
Authors
16
1 year ago

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