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Top stories

Big Tech’s ‘Reverse Acquihires’ Drain AI Startups of Talent

Authors

16

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Japan Times

Will Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?

Feb 7, 8:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

85.1%chance

92272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2390

418

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.23%chance

132269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3137

319

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

924

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2085?

Aug 29, 8:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.04%chance

231268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

965

Will Japan no longer be a developed country by 2050?

Aug 27, 2:11 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.71%chance

151225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

684

Will Russia rejoin G7/G8 before EOY 2050?

Jun 12, 3:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.5%chance

15800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

932

will my taiwanese grandma (86) pass away before china invades taiwan?

Feb 26, 12:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

65.25%chance

6583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Will Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?

Jan 5, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.01%chance

13414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

840

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025?

Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

7236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

923

Will life expectancy in any prefectures of Japan reach 90 years before end of 2040?

May 30, 12:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

54.5%chance

3105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

914

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 25000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:52 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

70.61%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

65

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
VC
Business
AI
Big Tech’s ‘Reverse Acquihires’ Drain AI Startups of Talent
Authors
16
9 months ago

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