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Journal News

Musk Disputes WSJ Report He’s Shelving America Party Plans

Musk Disputes WSJ Report He’s Shelving America Party Plans

109

4 months ago

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

US Domestic Policy

Gabbard Sparks CIA Backlash by Pulling Covert Officer’s Clearance

13

3 months ago

Are the Mexican alien bodies real? (scientific journal, 2025)

Sep 13, 7:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.21%chance

236229550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9860

2273

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

51.32%chance

5110194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

902

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 9:01 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.21%chance

716258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

451

By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?

Jan 5, 10:58 AMJan 6, 6:29 PM

68.13%chance

312412

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1608

443

XAI researchers publish in a top physics journal

Jul 15, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.93%chance

471598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

898

Will Mini be cited in an academic journal by 2025?

Feb 15, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.38%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1817

702

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM

51.19%chance

3241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

976

Will scientific journal publisher MDPI have a better reputation by 2027?

Sep 2, 9:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

127

Will any top economist author or coauthor a paper on the journal Seeds of Science?

Aug 6, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.84%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

86

Will Environment Health Perspectives (https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/) publish new journal articles again by July 1,2026?

Apr 30, 2:19 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

52%chance

577

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will elicit.com retrieve data from supplementary data of journal articles by EOY 2026?

Feb 22, 6:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

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