Libération News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Libération
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM
40%chance
20139770
OptionVotes
1590
412
How many seats will the Liberal Democrats win at the next general election?
May 2, 8:23 AMDec 31, 9:22 AM
135062
OptionProbability
50
31
15
1
1
1
0
0
0
When will Sussan Ley cease to be leader of the Liberal Party of Australia?
Nov 9, 2:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41989
OptionProbability
90
80
71
67
60
51
1
Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?
Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM
21.52%chance
151599
OptionVotes
1960
387
Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030
Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.64%chance
371499
OptionVotes
1021
798
OptionVotes
2021
495
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
23.47%chance
151324
OptionVotes
1806
554
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.51%chance
211148
OptionVotes
1140
877
Sussan Ley out before Liberal-National coalition reunites?
Jan 22, 12:44 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
60.54%chance
5847
OptionVotes
1239
807
OptionProbability
43
29
18
8
1
1
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
59.54%chance
7499
OptionVotes
1213
824
Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?
May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
11.97%chance
3171
OptionVotes
271
37