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Prediction markets for Libertarian
Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?
Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM
24.86%chance
547116
OptionVotes
1739
575
The winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election will be the nominee of which party?
Mar 16, 3:17 PMJan 7, 12:00 AM
221901
OptionProbability
58
40
1
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1691
798
How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
Aug 8, 10:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
10811
OptionProbability
95
3
2
OptionVotes
1141
954
If the Mises Caucus loses control of the Libertarian Party, will the resulting faction be pro Ukraine?
May 20, 12:11 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
58.64%chance
8157
OptionVotes
155
134
Will I no longer identify as a libertarian or neoliberal as a result of an AI convincing me by 2030?
Mar 26, 9:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30%chance
781
OptionVotes
194
153
Vibes-based market "In 2025 New Hampshire will be significantly better off as a result of libertarian changes"
Feb 16, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.53%chance
252
OptionVotes
142
62
Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 18 Chamber of Representatives seats in the 2029 legislative election?
Jun 5, 6:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.77%chance
250
OptionVotes
150
67
Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 5 Senate seats in the 2029 legislative election?
Jun 5, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43.06%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87
Will Bryan Caplan vote LIBERTARIAN in the 2028 presidential election?
Nov 11, 1:24 AMNov 18, 4:59 AM
47.56%chance
15
OptionVotes
105
95
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