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Prediction markets for Libertarian
Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?
Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM
23.75%chance
557169
OptionVotes
1792
558
Will the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 1% or more of the vote?
Sep 12, 8:12 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
75.22%chance
21087
OptionVotes
1742
574
How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
Aug 8, 10:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
14924
OptionProbability
78
21
1
OptionVotes
1141
954
Will the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 2% or more of the vote?
Sep 12, 8:28 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
47.87%chance
6351
OptionVotes
1053
938
Will the Libertarian Party candidate for President receive >1.5% popular vote in the 2028 US Election?
Jan 25, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.81%chance
10350
OptionVotes
134
75
OptionProbability
92
8
Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8230
OptionProbability
86
11
3
If the Mises Caucus loses control of the Libertarian Party, will the resulting faction be pro Ukraine?
May 20, 12:11 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
58.64%chance
8157
OptionVotes
155
134
Will I no longer identify as a libertarian or neoliberal as a result of an AI convincing me by 2030?
Mar 26, 9:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
30%chance
781
OptionVotes
194
153
Will Bryan Caplan vote LIBERTARIAN in the 2028 presidential election?
Nov 11, 1:24 AMNov 18, 4:59 AM
40.98%chance
220
OptionVotes
120
83
Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 5 Senate seats in the 2029 legislative election?
Jun 5, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43.06%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87
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