OptionProbability
5/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
5/16 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
5/18 12:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/18 5:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/19 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
5/20 6:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/20 6:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/22 7:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/24 12:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
5/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta Dream WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/30 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/30 6:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/31 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/1 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
6/1 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/1 7:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/5 6:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/6 8:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/7 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever against the (Chicago) Sky?
6/7 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/9 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valyries against the (Los Angeles) Sparkd?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/15 11:00 AM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/15 1:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/15 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Las Vegas) Ace?
6/18 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/19 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
6/20 6:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/20 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/21 12:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
6/25 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/26 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/26 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/27 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/27 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/29 3:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
6/29 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/1 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/3 6:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/5 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/6 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/6 3:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/10 2:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/13 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/14 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/14 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/15 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/16 11:00 AM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/16 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Washington) Mystic?
7/22 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/24 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/26 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/28 6:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/31 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
8/03 12:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
8/03 2:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
8/03 2:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
8/03 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Chicago) Sun?
8/03 5:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Kas Vegas) Aces?
5/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/17 12:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
5/17 2:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
5/17 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/21 7:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/21 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
5/21 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/23 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
5/23 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/24 2:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/25 2:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/25 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyriess WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
5/27 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
5/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Chicago Sky) against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
5/28 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever against the (Washington) Mystics?
5/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries against the (New York) Liberty?
5/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Chicago) Sky?
5/30 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/1 2:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns against the (New York) Liberty?
6/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/3 8:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/5 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/6 6:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream against the (Connecticut) Sun?
6/7 2:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/11 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/13 6:30 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/13 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/14 12:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/14 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/14 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/17 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
6/19 9:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/20 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/21 7:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/22 2:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/22 6:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/24 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
6/25 9:00 PM: Will the (Connectictu) Sun WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
6/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
6/28 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
6/29 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
6/29 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
6/29 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/3 6:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/3 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/5 7:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/6 6:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/7 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
7/7 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
7/8 10:30 AM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
7/8 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/9 10:00 AM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/12 12:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Chicago) Sky?
7/12 3:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/13 12:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
7/13 2:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/13 5:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/15 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
7/16 12:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/16 2:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
7/16 6:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/22 9:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
7/25 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
7/25 6:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
7/25 9:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
7/26 6:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
7/27 12:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
7/28 7:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Dallas) Wings?
7/30 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Indiana) Dream?
8/01 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
I visit Times Square
A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them
I explore the High Line
At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I attend an OBNYC meetup
I visit the New York Public Library
I visit the Empire State Building
I see a Broadway show
I visit the Statue of Liberty
I am at least moderately homesick
I meet someone I've met before at [company]
I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)
I eat a new york bagel
At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I explore Central Park
I really like the city
I gain the desire to move to NYC
I see a horse
I visit the Met
I visit the MoMA
I gain a romantic interest
I cry at some point
I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is
I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech
I lose 5 lbs
I visit the Guggenheim Museum
I visit the American Museum of Natural History
I kiss someone
I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things
I witness a man arguing passionately with no one
I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before
Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market
I see at least 4 protests
At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market
I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly
I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice
My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence
I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters
I hail a cab
I gain at least 5lbs of weight
I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5
I play chess in a park
I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest
I attend a pride parade
I explore Coney Island
I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute
I regret making this market
I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically
I witness a violent crime
I solve a millennium problem
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
74
72
67
67
64
64
56
56
54
54
51
50
50
46
44
44
44
43
43
43
42
40
40
40
39
25
23
21
19
19
18
14
10
10
5
1
OptionProbability
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"
"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"
"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"
empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs
"lower taxes"
"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"
"keep men out of women’s sports"
"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"
"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"
"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"
"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"
"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"
"stop all COVID mandates"
"more jobs for American workers"
"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"
"cut the number of school administrators"
"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"
"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"
"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"
"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"
"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"
"bigger paychecks"
"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"
"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"
"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"
"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"
"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"
"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"
"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"
"passing a digital bill of rights"
"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"
"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"
declassify the 'Epstein files'
"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"
"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"
"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"
"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"
"increase fairness through price transparency"
"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"
"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"
"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"
"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"
"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"
"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"
"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"
"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"
"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"
"end surprise medical billing"
"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"
"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"
"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"
"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"
"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"
"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"
"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"
"keep America out of unnecessary foreign wars"
100
91
89
88
82
79
79
71
71
65
63
63
58
53
50
48
47
45
44
44
44
42
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
38
37
36
36
34
34
31
31
31
28
27
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
19
18
18
16
16
13
11
7
0
OptionProbability
Kerch Bridge (Crimea)
Yamal-Europe Pipeline
Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)
Guri Dam (Venezuela)
Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)
Vatican City
Suez Canal (Egypt)
Xiluodu Dam (China)
Baihetan Dam (China)
Three Gorges Dam (China)
The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)
Panama Canal (Panama)
Golden Gate Bridge (United States)
Statue of Liberty (US)
The Empire State Building (US)
The Louvre (Paris, France)
Channel Tunnel (UK and France)
Hoover Dam (US)
Port of Houston (US)
World Trade Center (New York, US)
Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)
The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)
97
35
26
25
24
24
20
19
17
17
16
15
12
12
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
9
OptionProbability
United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)
Alliance for Global Justice
International Workers of the World (IWW)
Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)
UNICEF
Media Matters for America
Planned Parenthood
Greenpeace
AFL-CIO
Oxfam
GiveDirectly
United Auto Workers (UAW)
Southern Poverty Law Center
Archive Of Our Own (AO3)
NAACP
Amnesty International
League of Conservation Voters
Sierra Club
GiveWell
American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)
OpenAI
The United Methodist Church (UMC)
Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)
85
50
50
50
50
50
47
47
45
45
41
37
34
33
31
31
31
31
28
26
26
16
15
OptionVotes
YES
NO
995
10
OptionVotes
YES
NO
129
96
OptionProbability
Delaware - Ryan Carty
FIU - Willie Simmons
Jacksonville State - Charles Kelly
Kennesaw State - Jerry Mack
Liberty - Jamey Chadwell
Louisiana Tech - Sonny Cumbie
Middle Tennessee - Derek Mason
Missouri State - Ryan Beard
New Mexico State - Tony Sanchez
Sam Houston - Phil Longo
UTEP - Scotty Walden
Western Kentucky - Tyson Helton
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
OptionVotes
NO
YES
222
45
OptionVotes
YES
NO
193
52
OptionProbability
A Living President
An Eagle
None of the above
Lady Liberty, Columbia, etc.
An animal other than an Eagle
A Dead President
Female person other than Lady Liberty/Columbia/etc
Male person other than a president
46
33
6
5
4
2
2
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
92
88