OptionVotes
NO
YES
2795
465
1008
968
OptionProbability
Elections held before October 27th
Likud is the biggest party after next elections
New PM other than Netanyahu
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)
Parliament dissolved before 2026 starts
Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections
76
59
50
46
31
29
24
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