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Lyft News

    Prediction markets for Lyft

    🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (7/100 DONE)

    Jan 2, 1:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    19637891

    OptionProbability

    UK has a queen again

    USA adds 52nd state

    President with Green Eyes elected

    Room temperature superconductor discovered

    24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th

    Olympics hosted in Japan again

    ChatGPT 10 releases

    RSA-2048 cracked

    Crewed mission to Phobos

    Harlem Globetrotters lose again

    2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases

    Batman enters the public domain

    The Beatles music enters the public domain

    19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

    Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar

    Norway Bans Whaling

    African company or country lands on moon

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B

    Olympics hosted in Africa

    Japan Bans Whaling

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M

    Longest suspension bridge record broken

    Pokemon Card sells for $10M

    First hispanic USA president

    End support date for Windows 12

    Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle

    Pickleball in the Olympics

    Team Fortress 3 releases

    ChatGPT 7 releases

    human dies on the moon

    Grand Theft Auto 7 releases

    Human walks on mars

    The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake

    The first $10T market cap company

    Chicago ends on Broadway

    First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

    USA Adds 51st state

    USA fully ends embargo on Cuba

    Superman enters the public domain

    Iceland Bans Whaling

    The version after Windows 12 releases

    Centennial Lightbulb burns out

    Underwater hold breath world record broken

    Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

    China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

    Destiny retires from regular streaming

    Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds

    Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time

    Peppa Pig ends

    EU reaches 30 member states

    First female USA president

    Windows 11 end support date

    Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases

    India hosts the Olympics

    Blood Meridian movie release

    marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA

    Star Citizen releases or company ceases

    Family Guy ends

    Civilization 8 releases

    Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

    Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again

    ChatGPT 6 releases

    South Park ends

    Manifold reaches 20K MAU

    1500 Pokemon Released

    Xi no longer in power in China

    Simpsons ends

    First Trillionaire (USD)

    Bugs Bunny enters public domain

    1300 Pokemon Released

    Manifold reaches 40K MAU

    USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched

    Trump Dies

    James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases

    Human walks on moon again

    Price of gold hits $5000/oz

    Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

    Putin no longer in power in Russia

    Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken

    Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

    One piece manga ends

    a USA president impeached again

    Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

    Human runs official marathon under 2h

    Skibidi Toilet ends

    The first $5T market cap company

    Half Life 3 releases

    Sagrada Familia Church completed

    Another MLB perfect game pitched

    Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

    Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

    Shrek 5 releases

    Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

    USA discontinues or changes penny coin

    Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

    Death Stranding 2 releases

    First $100B revenue media franchise

    New Pope after Francis

    Civilization 7 releases

    Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

    Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less

    Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship

    Sweden joins NATO

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    🔓What will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?

    Feb 22, 6:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    327442

    OptionProbability

    Sweden joins NATO

    Nintendo goes after Palworld legally in some way

    Mr Beast reaches 300M subs on Youtube

    Vince McMahon OR Hunter Biden OR Alec Baldwin OR Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime

    Super Bowl LIX kickoff

    Sailing skill releases for runescape

    Hollow Knight Silksong released

    Kingdom Hearts 4 out

    Death Stranding 2 out

    reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

    King Charles no longer king of UK

    5th bitcoin halving

    Windows 12 released

    Haunted Chocolatier releases

    twitter releases a p2p payment system to free or all premium users

    Taylor Swift engaged

    manifold reaches 4000 engaged users

    someone reaches 10B profit on manifold

    Chat gpt 6 releases

    Star Citizen releases

    Taylor Swift married

    a twitter account reaches 300M followers for the first time

    Uber or Lyft cease operating (shut down / acquired and merged / etc)

    6th bitcoin halving

    Bryan Johnson will still be alive when it happens

    ukraine joins nato

    assange extradited to usa

    LK-99 or another room temperature superconductor is reproduced in a peer reviewed journal

    a Human has died on moon

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    19

    Will Tesla acquire Lyft or Uber by the end of 2029?

    Jul 28, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    11.78%chance
    15584

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1029

    494

    Amazon buys Lyft in 2025?

    Apr 28, 5:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    8.51%chance
    6228

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    328

    30

    🧑‍💻Which Websites/Apps will have a significant unintended outage due to DDOS or other reason in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Jan 5, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    6200

    OptionProbability

    Reddit

    Facebook

    Twitter/X

    eBay

    Manifold

    PornHub

    Twitch

    Kick

    Netflix

    OnlyFans

    OpenAI

    LinkedIn

    Discord

    Spotify

    Zoom

    Cloudflare

    Amazon

    Coinbase

    Steam

    Instagram

    Bsky

    Mercury

    Cash App

    Duolingo

    Tinder

    Lyft

    Uber

    Shopify

    Slack

    Wikipedia

    Chess.com

    iCloud

    WhatsApp

    Venmo

    Youtube

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    Will a state in the USA ban Uber And/or Lyft outright for all counties and cities by the end of 2025?

    Jun 21, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    25.44%chance
    6143

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    174

    60

    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2025?

    Jan 11, 2:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    17.26%chance
    8141

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    287

    97

    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2029?

    Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    49.79%chance
    661

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    152

    147

    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2026?

    Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    31.61%chance
    338

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    143

    87

    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2027?

    Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    36.05%chance
    328

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    133

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    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2028?

    Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    38.33%chance
    427

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    148

    115

    Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2030?

    Jan 11, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    61%chance
    522

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    146

    117