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Prediction markets for Manhattan
Will a US Manhattan-like Project for AGI Be Launched In 2025?
Nov 19, 6:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.57%chance
8416491
OptionVotes
3073
325
OptionVotes
1198
835
Luigi Mangione Federal Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Dec 19, 6:06 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
123263
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
78
53
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
31
31
31
27
25
22
20
20
20
18
14
11
OptionProbability
38
37
18
7
Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
52%chance
181145
OptionVotes
1330
422
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of 2025?
Sep 30, 4:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
2.41%chance
9673
OptionVotes
637
16
OptionProbability
100
100
75
61
47
41
[Carlini questions] US or China has created a public AI "Manhattan Project"
Mar 24, 1:21 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7221
OptionProbability
77
70
59
42
8
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of 2026?
Sep 30, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.22%chance
3128
OptionVotes
187
53
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of Halloween 2026?
Dec 4, 4:55 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
23.91%chance
4111
OptionVotes
178
56
Will I be able to take a waymo between two points in manhattan by the end of 2026?
Sep 30, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68%chance
480
OptionVotes
146
69
Manhattan project for microplastics reduction by eoy2032
Dec 3, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.71%chance
370
OptionVotes
170
59
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