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Prediction markets for MARA
Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?
Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
88.94%chance
439164
OptionVotes
5533
947
When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?
Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.33%chance
287564
OptionProbability
1398
100
OptionProbability
31
21
18
14
10
2
2
1
1
0
Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?
May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.79%chance
103560
OptionVotes
2072
353
Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?
Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
58.63%chance
332158
OptionVotes
1190
840
Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends
Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM
28.86%chance
241855
OptionVotes
1477
677
OptionVotes
1706
587
Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.61%chance
311495
OptionVotes
455
22
Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours
Apr 2, 7:40 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM
53.93%chance
11811
OptionVotes
274
147
OptionVotes
1628
614
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10675
OptionProbability
29
15
15
11
10
8
6
5
Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?
Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.45%chance
672
OptionVotes
112
90
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