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Prediction markets for Media Office
OptionVotes
4758
210
OptionVotes
1967
864
If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
Jul 4, 11:15 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
89.77%chance
342399
OptionVotes
2962
338
Will a Silicon Valley company be the target of a domestic terrorism attack by end 2025?
Nov 22, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.9%chance
202371
OptionVotes
2803
761
Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?
Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM
18.54%chance
172247
OptionVotes
2096
477
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?
Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
26.93%chance
491642
OptionVotes
1174
908
OptionVotes
1231
812
OptionVotes
2058
486
Ezra Klein runs for, or is appointed, to a political office by end of 2028
Mar 20, 11:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.61%chance
8341
OptionVotes
232
43
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
55.16%chance
7277
OptionVotes
1109
902
Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?
Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM
43.06%chance
2150
OptionVotes
1150
870
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