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Prediction markets for Medical
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
91.48%chance
606043
OptionVotes
2866
607
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Nov 7, 7:11 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
75.06%chance
283372
OptionVotes
1735
576
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
Dec 18, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
94%chance
251829
OptionVotes
1438
925
During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term
Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
38.67%chance
181762
OptionVotes
1259
794
Stanford Medical School Graduation Ceremony includes Land acknowledgement, 2029
Feb 25, 11:38 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM
31.28%chance
161561
OptionVotes
1388
756
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
Sep 7, 3:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.36%chance
13937
OptionVotes
1706
895
Will over 50% of US trans youth live in states banning medically recommended care (incl. HRT, blockers) by end-2028?
Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
57.08%chance
15840
OptionVotes
1407
523
Will an effective hair restoration medication be commercially available before 2030?
Sep 12, 6:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.37%chance
6610
OptionVotes
1323
756
Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)
Aug 19, 5:32 PMAug 19, 6:29 PM
20.88%chance
11565
OptionVotes
1052
630
Will male pattern baldness be curable via medication before 2035?
Jan 27, 7:27 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
34.08%chance
15482
OptionVotes
1040
874
Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?
Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.88%chance
14379
OptionVotes
150
67
Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?
Aug 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.04%chance
7257
OptionVotes
1149
906
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