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Prediction markets for Medical
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
Nov 15, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
91.28%chance
595993
OptionVotes
2816
612
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Nov 7, 7:11 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
74.93%chance
202429
OptionVotes
1729
578
During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term
Feb 21, 7:58 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
38.67%chance
181762
OptionVotes
1259
794
Stanford Medical School Graduation Ceremony includes Land acknowledgement, 2029
Feb 25, 11:38 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM
31.28%chance
161561
OptionVotes
1388
756
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
Dec 18, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
91.74%chance
251443
OptionVotes
1052
954
Will over 50% of US trans youth live in states banning medically recommended care (incl. HRT, blockers) by end-2028?
Jun 4, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.56%chance
14740
OptionVotes
1307
607
OptionProbability
90
80
72
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
30
27
0
0
Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)
Aug 19, 5:32 PMAug 19, 6:29 PM
20.88%chance
11565
OptionVotes
1052
630
Will an effective hair restoration medication be commercially available before 2030?
Sep 12, 6:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.26%chance
5560
OptionVotes
1417
706
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
Sep 7, 3:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.56%chance
12487
OptionVotes
1256
944
Will male pattern baldness be curable via medication before 2035?
Jan 27, 7:27 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
30.53%chance
14432
OptionVotes
990
979
Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?
Aug 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.04%chance
7257
OptionVotes
1129
886
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