Meta AI Research News

Microsoft Offers Multimillion-Dollar Packages and Most-Wanted List to Poach Meta AI Talent Amid Meta Superintelligence Labs Launch

6 months ago

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

614993

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

OpenAI/Microsoft

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Sep 28, 11:28 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.84%chance

312834

OptionVotes

YES

1351

868

Will there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?

Nov 23, 12:02 PMJan 2, 12:00 AM

26.66%chance

51141

OptionVotes

YES

1659

603

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

68.91%chance

19761

OptionVotes

YES

149

AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?

May 19, 12:14 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.89%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

134

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

May 7, 5:01 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

74.99%chance

6115

OptionVotes

YES

173

Best Engineering-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Apr 4, 4:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6108

OptionProbability

Other

Product Hunt, Filtered for A.I. and Last 90 Days https://www.producthunt.com/search?q=AI&lastLaunchedAfter=90%3Adays

Hacker News

Massachusetts Institute of technology

Twitter

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

YES

1059

1041

Will Aidan McLau's claim that very large models are "refusing instruction tuning" be validated by 2030?

Nov 22, 6:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.66%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

118

Will I get a job at an AI lab within before April 2026?

Dec 19, 6:56 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

59.22%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

121

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
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Microsoft Offers Multimillion-Dollar Packages and Most-Wanted List to Poach Meta AI Talent Amid Meta Superintelligence Labs Launch
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6 months ago

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Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Will there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

Best Engineering-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Will Aidan McLau's claim that very large models are "refusing instruction tuning" be validated by 2030?

Will I get a job at an AI lab within before April 2026?

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Latest stories

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