Microsoft AI News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Microsoft AI
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41239715
OptionProbability
37
26
19
18
Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?
Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64.82%chance
9412544
OptionVotes
12271
8388
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
15.88%chance
233212
OptionVotes
1925
695
OptionVotes
2390
418
OptionVotes
1023
826
Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?
Aug 12, 4:11 PMDec 13, 4:59 AM
85.11%chance
221741
OptionVotes
2434
426
Will the AI that takes over the universe be a cute anime girl?
Sep 21, 4:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.68%chance
341027
OptionVotes
1126
924
OptionProbability
53
52
47
38
35
31
30
20
19
12
Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
40.89%chance
8472
OptionVotes
1202
832
OptionProbability
48
19
17
10
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OpenAI or Microsoft offers or provides AI infra for an LLM in China before 3/2027
Mar 22, 3:15 PMMar 2, 6:59 AM
18.66%chance
7209
OptionVotes
246
82
OptionVotes
124
80
Latest stories
Latest stories


