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Top stories

Hodl Hodl Unveils Speakers and Sponsors for 2025 Bitcoin Hackathon

Hodl Hodl Unveils Speakers and Sponsors for 2025 Bitcoin Hackathon

Authors

5

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Mir

Will any of @Mira 's pets appear on the Dwarkesh Podcast by end of 2025?

Sep 18, 3:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.52%chance

3160997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

68990

2486

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Jun 15, 7:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.66%chance

215638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2896

345

Major laboratory safety breach involving mirror life research reported before 2026?

Dec 13, 2:54 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.19%chance

84970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5512

181

By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world?

Nov 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

79.71%chance

234040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1688

729

Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)

May 27, 8:46 AMMar 5, 9:59 PM

8.6%chance

182913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3259

307

Mirror life created by EOY2030?

Jun 28, 11:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.23%chance

222337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2561

390

Will Miro (miro.com) IPO in 2025?

Feb 5, 4:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.73%chance

51895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2885

347

Will "MIRI 2024 Communications Strategy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 29, 9:46 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

25.74%chance

111841

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

522

Will a new musical by Lin-Manuel Miranda premier by the end of 2025?

Aug 3, 7:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.36%chance

9854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1629

614

Will "Leaving MIRI, Seeking Funding" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Aug 8, 9:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.64%chance

4660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1595

927

Will Lin-Manuel Miranda complete an EGOT in his lifetime?

Oct 4, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.42%chance

14332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

823

Will MIRI run an end of 2025 fundraiser?

May 25, 4:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.77%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 5, 2025
Aug 5, 2025
NFT
Blockchains
Crypto
Hodl Hodl Unveils Speakers and Sponsors for 2025 Bitcoin Hackathon
Authors
5
2 days ago

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