MOL News

Russia Restarts Druzhba Crude Flows to Hungary After Drone Strike

8 months ago

Will "Whack-a-Mole is Not a Winnable Game" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 21, 4:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.23%chance

42222

OptionVotes

YES

1499

936

Will Curtis Yarvin ("Mencius Moldbug") be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.36%chance

272201

OptionVotes

YES

2014

871

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

181963

OptionVotes

YES

700

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

Apr 3, 10:36 AMDec 11, 4:59 AM

87.66%chance

211296

OptionVotes

YES

1409

861

Will Jon Zherka get convicted for child molestation before 2030?

Dec 18, 8:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.21%chance

12986

OptionVotes

YES

1294

826

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

Outcome of Molly White's FEC complaint vs. Coinbase (campaign contributions)

Aug 9, 11:39 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5566

OptionProbability

FEC opens investigation but takes no action, or is stopped by court decision

FEC reaches settlement

FEC dismisses complaint without investigation

FEC imposes fines, but does not refer to DOJ

FEC refers to DOJ (with or without fines)

Will Donald Trump continue to molest the money?

Sep 22, 2:53 AMJan 21, 2:49 AM

48.77%chance

4514

OptionVotes

YES

695

183

Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 3:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.97%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

1168

901

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Dec 31, 4:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

1035

975

Will Andrei Molodkin's "Dead Man's Switch" be activated and destroy at least $10 million dollars of artwork?

Feb 14, 10:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.22%chance

6239

OptionVotes

YES

382

Wavelet-based electrostatics solver in molecular dynamics code? (Before Nov 2026)

Nov 9, 9:09 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

46.19%chance

3206

OptionVotes

YES

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Aug 28, 2025
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Russia Restarts Druzhba Crude Flows to Hungary After Drone Strike
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Will "Whack-a-Mole is Not a Winnable Game" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Curtis Yarvin ("Mencius Moldbug") be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

Will Jon Zherka get convicted for child molestation before 2030?

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Outcome of Molly White's FEC complaint vs. Coinbase (campaign contributions)

Will Donald Trump continue to molest the money?

Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027?

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Will Andrei Molodkin's "Dead Man's Switch" be activated and destroy at least $10 million dollars of artwork?

Wavelet-based electrostatics solver in molecular dynamics code? (Before Nov 2026)

Latest stories

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