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Russia Restarts Druzhba Crude Flows to Hungary After Drone Strike
Authors
11
7 months ago
Prediction markets for MOL
Will "Whack-a-Mole is Not a Winnable Game" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Mar 21, 4:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
9.23%chance
42222
OptionVotes
1499
936
Will Curtis Yarvin ("Mencius Moldbug") be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 2, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.36%chance
272201
OptionVotes
2014
871
OptionVotes
700
14
OptionVotes
213
47
If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon
Apr 3, 10:36 AMDec 11, 4:59 AM
87.66%chance
211296
OptionVotes
1409
861
Will Jon Zherka get convicted for child molestation before 2030?
Dec 18, 8:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
31.21%chance
12986
OptionVotes
1294
826
Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?
Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
32.46%chance
14587
OptionVotes
1139
442
Outcome of Molly White's FEC complaint vs. Coinbase (campaign contributions)
Aug 9, 11:39 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5566
OptionProbability
30
26
24
15
6
OptionVotes
695
183
Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?
Dec 31, 4:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20%chance
10274
OptionVotes
1035
975
Will Ethan Mollick create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 5:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.96%chance
751
OptionVotes
212
145
Which country will cese to exist first | Taiwan vs Moldova | Country faceoff
Jan 16, 8:59 PMJan 20, 4:59 AM
00
OptionProbability
50
50