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Prediction markets for MS
OptionProbability
91
82
65
56
56
37
32
28
25
23
15
14
14
14
14
13
10
10
10
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
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5
5
5
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4
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4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
83
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
89
82
82
80
78
70
64
62
62
58
53
51
50
39
29
27
24
24
22
20
13
13
12
11
9
8
4
0
0
0
OptionProbability
94
92
91
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
85
84
83
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
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78
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78
76
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75
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74
73
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
66
66
65
65
62
59
59
59
54
54
53
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
42
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
34
32
27
19
17
16
OptionProbability
19
5
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.02%chance
151631
OptionVotes
11408
8833
Will MS Dhoni remain actively associated with CSK even after retiring?
Apr 28, 7:45 PMMar 31, 6:29 PM
84.07%chance
8279
OptionVotes
392
97
Will the value of any of the cards printed in the Magic: 30th Anniversary set exceed the price of an MSRP sealed booster box by the end of 2027?
Oct 4, 5:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
74%chance
10233
OptionVotes
1123
930
How many "safe" Senate seats will Republicans win in 2026? (AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY)
Jul 18, 3:29 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM
5184
OptionProbability
66
24
5
1
1
1
Will UFC host another event in the MSG Sphere in last Vegas before 2028?
Sep 16, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
56.68%chance
2151
OptionVotes
1144
874
Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?
Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM
49.89%chance
352
OptionVotes
1002
998
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