NANDA News
Top stories
Prediction markets for NANDA
OptionProbability
17
16
9
8
8
7
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
87
82
80
78
76
74
73
72
68
66
66
63
62
61
60
58
55
53
52
50
50
48
48
46
46
44
44
44
44
44
43
40
39
38
38
38
37
37
36
35
34
34
34
34
33
33
33
33
31
30
28
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
24
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
20
20
20
19
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
Conditional on an “FDA for AI” being established in the US, who will head it?
Oct 24, 11:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
202320
OptionProbability
64
6
5
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
484
53
Will mechanistic/transformer interpretability [eg Neel Nanda] end up affecting p(doom) more than 5%?
Sep 18, 7:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.85%chance
4190
OptionVotes
270
32
Latest stories
Latest stories