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Top stories

Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella Urges Macron to Dissolve Assembly or Resign Ahead of September 8 Vote, Offers to Be Prime Minister

Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella Urges Macron to Dissolve Assembly or Resign Ahead of September 8 Vote, Offers to Be Prime Minister

Authors

7

1 year ago

France Sets 2026 Municipal Vote for March 15–22; Ciotti Enters Nice Race

France Sets 2026 Municipal Vote for March 15–22; Ciotti Enters Nice Race

Authors

10

1 year ago

Bayrou Urges Talks, Says France Should Avoid Snap Elections

Bayrou Urges Talks, Says France Should Avoid Snap Elections

Authors

6

1 year ago

Macron Calls France ‘Solid’ as Stocks and Bonds Slide

Authors

4

1 year ago

Most French Voters Want Parliament Dissolved, Ifop Survey Finds

Authors

5

1 year ago

Mélenchon Sets 23 Sept. Bid to Impeach Macron

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Jabs at Jack Smith During Oval Office Meeting With South Korea’s Lee

Authors

5

1 year ago

Kenya’s Ex-Laikipia North MP Mathew Lempurkel Dies After Road Crash

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for National Assembly

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

4.1%chance

9934619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3768

661

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.28%chance

323292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

869

Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?

Oct 31, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.1%chance

91508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

550

59

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.74%chance

291508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

920

Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029

Feb 1, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

0.63%chance

141368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1307

75

Will any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?

Sep 26, 1:46 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

46.3%chance

13975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

929

Free Elections in Cuba before the end of 2027

Feb 7, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.03%chance

13485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

904

2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner

Jul 6, 4:59 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

15430

OptionProbability

Liberal-National

Labor

80

20

Will China become democratic before 2030?

Jan 3, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

13420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

26

Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

Oct 28, 3:56 AMNov 28, 12:59 PM

2415

OptionProbability

35% or above

29 - 30.99999%

31 - 32.99999%

33 - 34.99999%

27 - 28.99999%

25 - 26.99999%

Below 25%

26

16

15

14

11

10

9

One Nation primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

Oct 28, 4:01 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

496

OptionProbability

20 - 21.99999%

Below 20%

22 - 23.99999%

24 - 25.99999%

26 - 27.99999%

28 - 29.99999%

30% or above

28

18

15

12

10

9

8

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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