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Top stories

Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella Urges Macron to Dissolve Assembly or Resign Ahead of September 8 Vote, Offers to Be Prime Minister

Rassemblement National's Jordan Bardella Urges Macron to Dissolve Assembly or Resign Ahead of September 8 Vote, Offers to Be Prime Minister

Authors

7

5 months ago

France Sets 2026 Municipal Vote for March 15–22; Ciotti Enters Nice Race

France Sets 2026 Municipal Vote for March 15–22; Ciotti Enters Nice Race

Authors

10

5 months ago

Bayrou Urges Talks, Says France Should Avoid Snap Elections

Bayrou Urges Talks, Says France Should Avoid Snap Elections

Authors

6

5 months ago

Macron Calls France ‘Solid’ as Stocks and Bonds Slide

Authors

4

5 months ago

Most French Voters Want Parliament Dissolved, Ifop Survey Finds

Authors

5

5 months ago

Mélenchon Sets 23 Sept. Bid to Impeach Macron

Authors

5

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Jabs at Jack Smith During Oval Office Meeting With South Korea’s Lee

Authors

5

5 months ago

Kenya’s Ex-Laikipia North MP Mathew Lempurkel Dies After Road Crash

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for National Assembly

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4066

649

Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?

Feb 14, 2:58 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

8.29%chance

385609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

38

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.08%chance

322986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1738

817

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

27.72%chance

151611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

619

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1207

867

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

60

4

President of Cuba Miguel Diaz Canel deposed by 2030

Jan 4, 6:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.72%chance

6735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

367

154

Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029

Feb 1, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.27%chance

12710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

89

Fidesz party loses majority in 2026

Jun 11, 6:00 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

78.74%chance

11306

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Quebec flag emoji by 2030? ⚜️

Jun 24, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.9%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

46

2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner

Jul 6, 4:59 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

573

OptionProbability

Liberal-National

Labor

57

43

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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