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Prediction markets for National Institutes of Health
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
Mar 12, 3:27 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM
19886534
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
83
73
70
69
69
68
61
59
58
55
55
54
54
51
50
49
48
46
44
43
39
37
36
35
34
34
34
33
31
28
25
25
23
23
21
21
21
20
19
18
18
17
16
15
12
12
12
12
11
9
9
8
8
7
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.48%chance
157839
OptionVotes
9427
2859
OptionVotes
2404
416
OptionProbability
5
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will the NIH's annual budget in 2028 be at least 50% lower than its 2024 budget in nominal dollars?
Dec 17, 4:11 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
33.75%chance
91338
OptionVotes
1746
1278
OptionVotes
1056
807
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
Jan 11, 2:26 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
8.23%chance
8781
OptionVotes
284
42
Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]
Mar 27, 7:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17754
OptionProbability
94
89
50
40
38
35
34
34
34
24
20
18
9
OptionProbability
24
18
17
15
8
6
6
3
3
OptionVotes
239
42
When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?
Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM
110
OptionProbability
33
17
17
17
17
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