National Party News

Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%

6 months ago

Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?

Sep 17, 5:51 AMDec 19, 10:59 AM

128439

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

Green Party

ACT Party

New Zealand First Party

Te Pāti Māori

The Opportunities Party

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

89.39%chance

155128

OptionVotes

YES

1506

887

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Oct 31, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

111548

OptionProbability

Labour

Reform

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Green

Scottish National Party

Other

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

26.48%chance

251381

OptionVotes

YES

167

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

11.8%chance

12778

OptionVotes

YES

1109

956

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM

10701

OptionProbability

David Littleproud

Other

Michael McCormack

Colin Boyce

Barnaby Joyce

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.96%chance

7512

OptionVotes

YES

1276

783

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

20465

OptionVotes

YES

1174

911

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.97%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

271

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

66.34%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

235

140

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.79%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

1010

962

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Independents

Other

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Uruguay
Economics
Politics
Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%
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6 months ago

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Prediction markets for National Party

Prediction markets for National Party

Prediction markets for National Party

Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Latest stories

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