National Party News

Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%

7 months ago

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

76%chance

216870

OptionVotes

YES

1045

667

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Oct 31, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

151685

OptionProbability

Reform

Labour

Conservative

Green

Liberal Democrat

Other

Scottish National Party

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

26.48%chance

251381

OptionVotes

YES

167

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM

101353

OptionProbability

Matt Canavan

Other

Michael McCormack

Colin Boyce

David Littleproud

Barnaby Joyce

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

8%chance

131279

OptionVotes

YES

1610

902

Which party will win the Farrer by-election?

Feb 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 6:25 AM

131111

OptionProbability

Independent

Liberal Party

One Nation

National Party

Labor Party

Other

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.4%chance

8762

OptionVotes

YES

748

100

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.3%chance

21475

OptionVotes

YES

1184

908

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.97%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

271

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

66.34%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

235

140

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.26%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

117

101

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Independents

Other

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Uruguay
Economics
Politics
Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%
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7 months ago

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Prediction markets for National Party

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Prediction markets for National Party

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Which party will win the Farrer by-election?

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Latest stories

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