National Party News

Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%

1 year ago

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

91.51%chance

3010239

OptionVotes

YES

1848

851

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3.38%chance

172861

OptionVotes

YES

3546

798

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.33%chance

101787

OptionVotes

YES

1046

1017

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM

121687

OptionProbability

Matt Canavan

Other

Michael McCormack

Colin Boyce

David Littleproud

Barnaby Joyce

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

271548

OptionVotes

YES

271

Who will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?

Apr 16, 8:36 PMMay 16, 8:34 PM

71351

OptionProbability

Erica Stanford

Chris Bishop

Other

James Meager

Nicola Willis

Next leader of the NZ National Party

Aug 10, 8:50 AMAug 10, 8:49 AM

4530

OptionProbability

Erica stanford

Other

Chris bishop

Nicola Willis

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.52%chance

21478

OptionVotes

YES

1173

911

What vote shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Jul 20, 10:49 AMJan 24, 11:59 PM

4241

OptionProbability

Labour Party

Reform UK

Conservative Party

Green Party of England and Wales

Liberal Democrats

Restore Britain

Others and independents

Scottish National Party

Your Party

Other

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.8%chance

7185

OptionVotes

YES

223

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14.31%chance

7184

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

66.34%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

235

140

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Uruguay
Economics
Politics
Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for National Party

Prediction markets for National Party

Prediction markets for National Party

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Who will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?

Next leader of the NZ National Party

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

What vote shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Latest stories

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