National Party News

Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%

1 year ago

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

May 25, 10:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

1824339

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

Te Pati Maori

New Zealand First Party

Green Party

ACT New Zealand

Other

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

83.82%chance

227493

OptionVotes

YES

1004

962

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3.39%chance

162844

OptionVotes

YES

3529

799

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM

121687

OptionProbability

Matt Canavan

Other

Michael McCormack

Colin Boyce

David Littleproud

Barnaby Joyce

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

271548

OptionVotes

YES

271

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

8972

OptionVotes

YES

714

121

What seat shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Jul 20, 10:37 AMAug 17, 10:59 PM

3566

OptionProbability

Reform UK

Labour Party

Conservative Party

Liberal Democrats

Green Party of England and Wales

Restore Britain

Others and independents

Scottish National Party

Your Party

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.3%chance

21475

OptionVotes

YES

1184

908

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14.31%chance

7184

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

66.34%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

235

140

Who will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?

Apr 16, 8:36 PMMay 16, 8:34 PM

384

OptionProbability

Chris Bishop

Erica Stanford

Nicola Willis

James Meager

Other

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.06%chance

558

OptionVotes

YES

114

113

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Uruguay
Economics
Politics
Uruguayan Parliament Approves Arazatí Project Cancellation as Ortuño Questioned, Orsi Backs Government, Noboa Visits, FDI Drops 21%
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for National Party

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Prediction markets for National Party

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?

Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

What seat shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Who will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?

Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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