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Prediction markets for National Renewal
OptionVotes
4190
239
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
55.74%chance
291727
OptionVotes
1057
918
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
82%chance
121189
OptionVotes
213
47
OptionVotes
214
47
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM
43.52%chance
6225
OptionVotes
136
56
OptionProbability
83
72
59
50
50
41
34
34
24
15
15
Will Black Sea Grain Initiative be reactivated by EOY 2026?
Sep 14, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.46%chance
2115
OptionVotes
107
93
Will the Visa Waiver for Canadian travellers to China be renewed before the end of the year?
Nov 2, 10:50 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
78.31%chance
5110
OptionVotes
190
53
Will France establish a new Republic before the end of 2030?
Oct 8, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.82%chance
497
OptionVotes
195
51
when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)
Apr 20, 12:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
256
OptionProbability
31
29
29
10
Will Joe Rogan Run for President of the United States Before 2037?
Oct 12, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.92%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
50
Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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