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Prediction markets for National Renewal
Which countries will withdraw or be barred from the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jan 25, 10:55 PMJun 11, 12:00 AM
12234868
OptionProbability
18
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1945
515
Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?
Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM
92664
OptionProbability
71
16
13
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
54.61%chance
281702
OptionVotes
1032
938
OptionProbability
89
87
86
86
84
76
56
50
45
35
34
4
OptionVotes
214
47
OptionProbability
36
27
25
4
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
17.73%chance
6338
OptionVotes
215
46
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM
43.52%chance
6225
OptionVotes
136
56
Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?
May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
11.97%chance
3171
OptionVotes
271
37
when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)
Apr 20, 12:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
26
OptionProbability
27
25
25
22
Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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