National Security Agency News

Joseph Francescon Confirmed as NSA Deputy Director Amid Vetting Questions Over Donation to Democrat; Rubio Shuts Down Gazan Visas

10 months ago

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2233175

OptionProbability

6 - 7

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Jan 24, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

878733

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.78%chance

175742

OptionVotes

YES

15357

6512

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Feb 22, 6:24 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

81444

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before May 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Mar 2026

Will Anthropic legally challenge the US government directive to suspend access to Fable?

Jun 13, 9:29 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM

9.25%chance

221080

OptionVotes

YES

313

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:27 AM

23.35%chance

181074

OptionVotes

YES

181

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Apr 7, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.21%chance

14449

OptionVotes

YES

296

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.28%chance

10320

OptionVotes

YES

219

Government employee fired in Trump second term exposed as a spy on behalf of a foreign country

Mar 6, 11:22 PMJan 21, 9:59 PM

34.1%chance

10127

OptionVotes

YES

139

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Jun 19, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will a government mandate restrict access to an OpenAI or xAI model on security or safety grounds before 2027?

Jun 13, 9:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.25%chance

597

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

592

OptionVotes

YES

171

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Gov Appointments
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Joseph Francescon Confirmed as NSA Deputy Director Amid Vetting Questions Over Donation to Democrat; Rubio Shuts Down Gazan Visas
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10 months ago

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[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Will Anthropic legally challenge the US government directive to suspend access to Fable?

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?

Government employee fired in Trump second term exposed as a spy on behalf of a foreign country

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Will a government mandate restrict access to an OpenAI or xAI model on security or safety grounds before 2027?

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram