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Prediction markets for Naval Group
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.49%chance
14227715
OptionVotes
27193
9686
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.54%chance
7710878
OptionVotes
1196
857
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]
Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
414185
OptionProbability
97
47
35
26
25
25
24
21
21
19
17
17
16
12
12
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.27%chance
352998
OptionVotes
1004
986
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
15.54%chance
422671
OptionVotes
1861
746
Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
Feb 7, 9:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
91468
OptionProbability
47
26
10
4
4
4
3
2
What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
30%chance
8681
OptionVotes
990
102
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Aug 1, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.64%chance
14
OptionVotes
104
98
Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?
Sep 27, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM
11%chance
11
OptionVotes
101
91
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