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Iran Insists on Uranium Enrichment, Links U.S. Talks to End of Strikes

1 month ago

Trump Opens Door to EU Talks as 30% Tariff Clock Ticks

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

Trump Opens Door to EU Talks as 30% Tariff Clock Ticks

1 day ago

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

4.28%chance

6819633

OptionVotes

YES

4730

211

Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?

Nov 8, 11:41 AMNov 26, 4:59 AM

2610366

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Donald Trump

AOC

Josh Shapiro

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Haley

Kamala Harris

Other candidate with Trump as their last name

Barack Obama

Cory Booker

Joe Biden

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Chris Christie

Elizabeth Warren

Bernie Sanders

Other Democrat Politician

Other Republican Politician

Kanye West

Michelle Obama

Hillary Clinton

Michael Bloomberg

Elon Musk

Ivanka Trump

Tulsi Gabbard

John Fetterman

Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?

Feb 4, 10:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13%chance

186263

OptionVotes

YES

2587

387

Donald Trump announces a plan to serve a third term before January 1, 2026

Mar 30, 10:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

394197

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?

Feb 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.9%chance

494089

OptionVotes

YES

1835

545

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

90.34%chance

134078

OptionVotes

YES

3058

327

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

333999

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

Will Laura Loomer have a baby or be pregnant by end of 2025?

Sep 16, 1:53 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

11.31%chance

172856

OptionVotes

YES

2800

357

Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?

Mar 28, 8:28 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

22.64%chance

152003

OptionVotes

YES

1725

658

At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026

Jan 21, 6:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

54.98%chance

121952

OptionVotes

YES

1105

905

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.01%chance

261841

OptionVotes

YES

1017

975

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.23%chance

261269

OptionVotes

YES

1408

785

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Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?

Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?

Donald Trump announces a plan to serve a third term before January 1, 2026

Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Will Laura Loomer have a baby or be pregnant by end of 2025?

Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?

At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Latest stories

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