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Prediction markets for NDA
OptionProbability
80
79
77
75
64
62
60
59
59
21
21
0
Will the solid-state (Donut) Verge motorcycle be delivered under a non-disclosure agreement?
Mar 21, 12:20 AMAug 1, 12:10 AM
47.39%chance
43782
OptionVotes
1054
949
Will Jan Leike be charged with violating his NDA for whistleblowing in the next 2 years?
May 15, 3:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
5.53%chance
242516
OptionVotes
2905
765
Will The Architect (Siberian Node) publicly leak the Golden Ratio (1.618) Engineering Prompt in 2026?
Apr 18, 12:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.75%chance
82288
OptionVotes
112
89
OptionProbability
67
61
58
58
27
15
Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?
Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM
77.43%chance
51540
OptionVotes
3308
1022
Will Vince McMahon settle out of court with any of his sex scandal accusers?
Jan 29, 3:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.4%chance
7359
OptionVotes
1245
662
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
74.59%chance
1100
OptionVotes
1100
964
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