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Prediction markets for New Democratic Party
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Nov 15, 10:37 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM
8450261
OptionProbability
48
40
11
0
0
Who will succeed Jagmeet Singh as the next leader of Canada's New Democratic Party (NDP)?
Nov 3, 1:52 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
2712595
OptionProbability
84
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM
84.47%chance
288564
OptionVotes
2332
429
Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
Mar 9, 5:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
144482
OptionProbability
56
56
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
48
48
45
45
42
41
39
32
28
13
1
1
1
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
81.31%chance
93929
OptionVotes
1134
954
Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?
Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.97%chance
152709
OptionVotes
940
722
What will the House popular vote margin be in 2026? (% voting D - % voting R)
Dec 22, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11877
OptionProbability
24
18
15
11
9
7
5
5
4
2
OptionVotes
1207
867
OptionProbability
58
25
8
8
Which party will win the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
Feb 14, 7:56 PMDec 31, 7:54 PM
6406
OptionProbability
69
23
5
2
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33%chance
8175
OptionVotes
260
205
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