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Prediction markets for Nice
OptionProbability
29
22
14
11
10
6
4
3
2
OptionVotes
290
135
Will a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?
Jul 28, 11:30 PMJan 1, 12:13 AM
70.53%chance
8148
OptionVotes
175
85
OptionVotes
169
98
OptionVotes
210
33
When will a video game exist with a practically infinite world (like Minecraft) that looks as nice as the BOTW world?
May 31, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.75%chance
7105
OptionVotes
152
87
Will NICE recommend randomisation as standard care for any condition
Jan 1, 10:36 PMJan 9, 11:59 PM
255
OptionProbability
50
37
15
Will "Nice-ish, smooth takeoff (with imperfect safe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Oct 3, 9:33 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.52%chance
16
OptionVotes
1006
964
Tell me (with evidence or nice arguments) whether it is fine or harmful to not wear one's prescription glasses.
Jul 20, 5:00 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
00