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Top stories

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for NL

Which MLB team will win the NL Central in 2026?

Aug 8, 3:45 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

2745256

OptionProbability

Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago Cubs

Any Other Team (Pirates/Cardinals/Reds)

98

1

1

Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)

Oct 27, 6:18 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

2715589

OptionProbability

Los Angeles Dodgers

Other

Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds

Arizona Diamondbacks

St. Louis Cardinals

New York Mets

42

24

12

9

8

1

1

1

1

1

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3.79%chance

125985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5041

198

How many games will the Pittsburgh Pirates win in the 2026 regular season?

Mar 26, 2:55 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

53538

OptionProbability

76 - 81

82 - 87

70 - 75

88 - 93

94 - 100

Below 70

Above 100

51

37

3

3

3

2

1

Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)

Oct 26, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92570

OptionProbability

Los Angeles Dodgers

Other

Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals

New York Mets

Arizona Diamondbacks

44

22

11

8

7

2

2

2

2

1

Which 2 teams will be in 2026 World Series?

Aug 2, 7:18 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

71764

OptionProbability

Other

Dodgers and Yankees

Dodgers and Red Sox

Dodgers and Tampa Bay

Any other NL team other than Dodgers and any AL team

Dodgers and Orioles

Dodgers and Astros

Phillies and Yankees

Braves and Yankees

Dodgers and Blue Jays

Phillies and Red Sox

Padres and Yankees

Braves and Astros

Padres and Orioles

23

12

9

6

6

6

6

6

6

4

4

4

3

3

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

1%chance

7924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all current major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?

Oct 27, 5:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.61%chance

11715

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1249

958

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

10623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

876

In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?

Apr 10, 8:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

110

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

60

will there be a DOOM monster modeled after the NLRP3 inflammasome by 2055?

Jun 30, 12:16 PM

10

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
MLB
Sports
MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid
Authors
8
1 year ago

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