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Top stories

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid

MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid

Authors

8

10 months ago

Prediction markets for NL

Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)

Oct 27, 6:18 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

85415

OptionProbability

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves

Other

Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs

Cincinnati Reds

Arizona Diamondbacks

St. Louis Cardinals

New York Mets

San Francisco Giants

39

18

16

9

5

3

3

3

3

1

Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)

Oct 26, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41833

OptionProbability

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves

Other

Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs

New York Mets

San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks

39

18

17

9

5

3

2

2

2

1

Who will win the MLB MVP Award in the National League for the 2026 MLB season?

Nov 2, 7:45 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

91495

OptionProbability

Shohei Ohtani

Other

Juan Soto

Paul Skenes

64

25

8

3

How many games will the Pittsburgh Pirates win in the 2026 regular season?

Mar 26, 2:55 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

21321

OptionProbability

70 - 75

76 - 81

Below 70

82 - 87

88 - 93

94 - 100

Above 100

25

16

13

12

11

11

11

Who will win the National League Cy Young Award in the 2026 MLB season?

Mar 26, 6:16 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

81234

OptionProbability

Other

Christopher Sanchez

Paul Skenes

Shohei Ohtani

65

23

6

6

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

51%chance

6799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all current major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?

Oct 27, 5:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.61%chance

11715

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1249

958

Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?

Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

10623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

876

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

7.72%chance

7275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

29

All-Star Game! The American League will beat the National League in the 2026 MLB All-Star Game.

Jun 4, 12:07 AMJul 15, 11:59 PM

60.98%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?

Apr 10, 8:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

110

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

60

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
MLB
Sports
MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred Signals Expansion, Geographic Realignment, Postseason Changes, and Nashville’s Franchise Bid
Authors
8
10 months ago

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