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Prediction markets for NL
Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)
Oct 27, 6:18 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM
117634
OptionProbability
40
18
13
11
9
4
3
1
1
1
Who will win 2026 MLB NLCS? ⚾ (National League Championship Series)
Oct 26, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52098
OptionProbability
30
22
15
13
9
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
23
12
9
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
4
4
3
3
How many games will the Pittsburgh Pirates win in the 2026 regular season?
Mar 26, 2:55 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM
31521
OptionProbability
26
18
13
12
12
10
9
Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
51%chance
6799
OptionVotes
1020
980
Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all *current* major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?
Oct 27, 5:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
8.61%chance
11715
OptionProbability
1249
958
Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?
Jun 3, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
43.43%chance
10623
OptionVotes
1141
876
Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?
Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM
7.72%chance
7275
OptionVotes
346
29
Will the Dodgers finish the season with the best record in baseball (including a tie)?
Jun 27, 12:43 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM
44.03%chance
571
OptionVotes
111
91
In 2030, where will Irish electricity prices rank among comparable countries [AU, FI, DK, IE, NL, EE, GB, CH, SG]?
Apr 10, 8:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
110
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