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Prediction markets for NOW
5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"
Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM
89.71%chance
39053405
OptionVotes
2770
1438
Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?
Jan 6, 7:00 AMJan 6, 9:59 PM
89.71%chance
7817452
OptionVotes
6296
4907
We sell >2x the boosts now that we add 5k liquidity to the AMM?
Mar 10, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:02 PM
40%chance
7211898
OptionVotes
1217
456
If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?
May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM
58.04%chance
818210
OptionVotes
12716
9569
Will the Sun engulf the Earth before 12 billion years from now.
Dec 8, 8:11 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
12.87%chance
315554
OptionVotes
1907
761
Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
Oct 16, 12:57 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
26.3%chance
464805
OptionVotes
1690
364
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?
Sep 13, 12:23 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM
81.49%chance
374388
OptionVotes
1229
876
Will the world look shockingly similar in 5 years from now (2030)?
Dec 30, 12:23 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM
53.67%chance
383834
OptionVotes
1076
929
Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI?
Feb 21, 9:22 PMFeb 22, 6:59 AM
67.88%chance
30627
OptionVotes
995
989
Are we getting less intelligent? Will our IQ scores get lower from now onwards? Are we headed for idiocracy?
Sep 3, 8:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.22%chance
23500
OptionVotes
1097
893
Will my portfolio outperform the S&P 500 from now till December 31st, 2026?
Dec 6, 3:40 AMDec 31, 3:35 AM
43.18%chance
7419
OptionVotes
1147
872
Will the number of wards and branches in the LDS (Mormon) Church decrease year-over-year between now and 2030?
Mar 23, 1:48 AMMay 2, 5:59 AM
46.78%chance
4170
OptionVotes
2026
1742
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