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Top stories

Venezuelan Protests in Madrid and Caracas Demand Vatican Mediation as Ex-U.S. Marine Released in Washington-Caracas Prisoner Exchange

Venezuelan Protests in Madrid and Caracas Demand Vatican Mediation as Ex-U.S. Marine Released in Washington-Caracas Prisoner Exchange

Authors

3

10 days ago

Prediction markets for OAS

When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from the Oakland airport to Berkeley's campus?

Sep 25, 12:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

225349

OptionProbability

in 2027

between October 1 and December 31, 2026

2028 and onwards

between April 1 and June 30, 2026

between July 1 and September 30, 2026

between Jan 1 and March 31, 2026

between October 1 and December 31, 2025

between July 1 and September 30, 2025

between April 1 and June 30, 2025

by March 31, 2025

20

16

13

12

12

10

9

4

2

1

Will Oasis break up before the end of their 2025 live tour?

Oct 15, 4:26 PMNov 9, 4:59 AM

10.57%chance

163909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2908

344

If Oasis reforms and announces a reunion tour, will they complete all scheduled shows by the end of 2025?

Aug 26, 6:28 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

76.66%chance

132723

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1812

552

Will both Noel and Liam appear at all at least 14 shows on the Oasis live '25 tour?

Aug 27, 1:14 PMAug 18, 1:59 PM

77.12%chance

142691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1836

545

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM

29.38%chance

231983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.2%chance

141942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2194

456

Where will the Oakland A’s play the majority of their home games in 2025?

Feb 18, 8:45 PMOct 26, 6:59 AM

5874

OptionProbability

Sacramento

Oakland

Las Vegas

Salt Lake City or nearby suburbs

Other

95

3

1

1

1

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Apr 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.59%chance

11742

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

321

Will the Oakland A’s break ground on a stadium at Howard Terminal before January 1, 2028?

Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.71%chance

7536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

506

85

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

89.22%chance

15478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

887

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Apr 1, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.17%chance

9192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

406

194

Will a diffusion transformer (like what's used in oasis) generate an entire subreddit by EOY2026?

Nov 10, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 23, 2025
Jul 23, 2025
Venezuela
Politics
World
Venezuelan Protests in Madrid and Caracas Demand Vatican Mediation as Ex-U.S. Marine Released in Washington-Caracas Prisoner Exchange
Authors
3
10 days ago

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