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Prediction markets for of Defense Forces
Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10353565
OptionProbability
100
100
46
32
23
23
23
21
19
19
18
16
15
14
13
13
11
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (11 DONE)
Feb 28, 6:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
8517464
OptionProbability
90
89
87
86
85
82
81
79
69
63
63
62
59
58
57
57
56
54
54
51
51
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
48
47
47
47
47
46
44
44
43
43
42
42
42
42
42
41
40
40
40
40
38
37
37
34
34
33
32
30
29
29
28
28
25
24
23
22
18
14
14
14
13
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?
Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM
4.64%chance
319992
OptionVotes
2708
223
OptionVotes
6656
150
The US becomes much more like shadowrun by the end of 2025
Jan 3, 8:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.25%chance
93101
OptionVotes
3577
280
Will Mike Waltz be confirmed as Ambassador to the United Nations?
May 6, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:14 PM
86.04%chance
212273
OptionVotes
2482
403
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
9.87%chance
221221
OptionVotes
302
33
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
Feb 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.42%chance
291126
OptionVotes
1126
808
Altay tank enters Turkish Armed Forces inventory before September 1st 2025
Jan 24, 3:44 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM
69.75%chance
5355
OptionVotes
152
66
OptionVotes
257
39
When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?
Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
43.42%chance
590
OptionVotes
298
264
As Sudan defeat against Rapid Defense Force in 2025, what will led to which scenario?
Nov 6, 6:33 PMJan 1, 4:33 AM
10
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