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Prediction markets for Office for National Statistics
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
Jun 17, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.98%chance
1248608
OptionVotes
2805
1870
OptionVotes
1019
981
Conditional on Labour winning the next election, will English housing rents increase by more than 3% in 2025?
Nov 9, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
89.59%chance
7768
OptionVotes
317
48
Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?
Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM
40.75%chance
11595
OptionVotes
1206
829
If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?
Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
41.86%chance
9464
OptionVotes
1179
848
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
55.16%chance
7277
OptionVotes
1109
902
Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?
Jun 17, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
84.34%chance
7144
OptionVotes
240
116
Will Motorists for themselves surpass a 5% threshold to gain parliamentary seats?
Jun 19, 9:15 AMOct 11, 9:14 AM
49.88%chance
5110
OptionVotes
100
100
Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
Mar 18, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.83%chance
581
OptionVotes
109
107
Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?
Jun 17, 6:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.51%chance
435
OptionVotes
101
81
Conditional on Tory government winning the next election, will English property rents increase by more than 3% in 2025?
Nov 9, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.26%chance
433
OptionVotes
96
53
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