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Prediction markets for Offices
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
1.15%chance
316855132
OptionVotes
119785
2471
OptionProbability
77
14
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
OptionVotes
2305
434
Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?
Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
2.17%chance
6062532
OptionVotes
56934
7037
OptionProbability
86
4
3
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
79
7
6
6
2
OptionVotes
4012
249
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM
6.93%chance
1617066
OptionVotes
14973
46
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.72%chance
4311572
OptionVotes
2345
1740
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.89%chance
5510526
OptionVotes
3703
2184
OptionVotes
1195
938
Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)
Sep 28, 8:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
23.5%chance
472599
OptionVotes
2365
1309
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