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Adrien Rabiot Excluded From Olympique de Marseille After Altercation; Rowe Leaves, De Zerbi Hopes for Return, Tottenham Interested

3 months ago

OmniZherka vs BurkaZherka (permanent)

Apr 9, 11:30 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

46%chance

191487

OptionVotes

YES

307

101

Will "OMMC Announces RIP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Apr 2, 2:51 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

2.39%chance

5525

OptionVotes

YES

705

152

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.38%chance

9265

OptionVotes

YES

209

144

Will Saudi Arabia invade Yemen or Oman by the end of 2027?

Jun 23, 6:11 AMDec 31, 7:11 AM

32.75%chance

6259

OptionVotes

YES

143

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Nov 23, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

870

Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Oct 3, 10:21 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.39%chance

4149

OptionVotes

YES

1026

852

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

45.85%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

1087

920

If Trump is elected in 2024, will omega-6 be listed on US food labels by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:23 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will Feng Timo have a OMICm age >10 years younger than her chronological age?

Nov 10, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.02%chance

223

OptionVotes

YES

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will Vitalik Buterin have an OMICm age more than 6 years younger than his chrnological age?

Nov 10, 9:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

013

OptionVotes

YES

Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:43 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
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Adrien Rabiot Excluded From Olympique de Marseille After Altercation; Rowe Leaves, De Zerbi Hopes for Return, Tottenham Interested
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3 months ago

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OmniZherka vs BurkaZherka (permanent)

Will "OMMC Announces RIP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Will Saudi Arabia invade Yemen or Oman by the end of 2027?

Before 2027, will a frontier AI model achieve an AA-Omniscience hallucination rate below 5%?

Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will omega-6 be listed on US food labels by 2030?

Will Feng Timo have a OMICm age >10 years younger than her chronological age?

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Will Vitalik Buterin have an OMICm age more than 6 years younger than his chrnological age?

Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram