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Prediction markets for One America News
Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?
Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM
75%chance
14234343
OptionVotes
10400
7578
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.61%chance
235041
OptionVotes
5459
2563
Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.
Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
67.38%chance
241466
OptionVotes
1437
696
OptionVotes
2131
469
Will the Red Deer (Cervus elaphus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 26, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7.49%chance
7717
OptionVotes
1216
354
OptionProbability
100
100
71
50
33
30
27
When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?
Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9342
OptionProbability
58
57
56
55
55
47
18
Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?
Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.87%chance
332
OptionVotes
115
87