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Top stories

UK ONS Revises GDP Upward, Delays Retail Sales Data on Quality Checks

UK ONS Revises GDP Upward, Delays Retail Sales Data on Quality Checks

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for ONS

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5791

4783

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.31%chance

474129046

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11076

10681

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

30.42%chance

2154258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

6948

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71.05%chance

17725328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12006

9046

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38%chance

3322102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7072

3331

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.63%chance

3315534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15062

6649

Will Trump cheer on a violent attack on a public intellectual?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMFeb 2, 8:37 PM

23.53%chance

1314738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18029

5546

Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030?

Nov 10, 2:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.3%chance

2414348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19799

5066

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.2%chance

2910792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16061

5454

Real U.S. spending on math R&D at higher-education institutions decrease by at least 25% by EOY 2028

Oct 3, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.15%chance

510552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20550

4866

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10938

8979

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

12860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10622

9739

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
UK ONS Revises GDP Upward, Delays Retail Sales Data on Quality Checks
Authors
13
1 year ago

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