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Prediction markets for Open Society
OptionProbability
50
25
20
18
15
15
14
13
11
10
10
0
0
0
Who else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]
Sep 26, 6:49 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM
102512
OptionProbability
100
100
80
68
63
51
50
50
50
50
45
45
40
34
20
20
Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?
Mar 23, 3:54 AMJan 20, 12:00 PM
56.11%chance
42460
OptionVotes
1131
884
By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.
Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
19.5%chance
121396
OptionVotes
2032
492
OptionVotes
1449
832
Will the Twin prime Conjecture be proven before 2030?
Jun 19, 12:54 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
54.22%chance
14461
OptionVotes
109
92
Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100
Jan 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
23.58%chance
140
OptionVotes
110
48
Will Soros's Open Society Foundations be defunct and cease to exist before 2031?
Oct 12, 9:50 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
9.99%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
99
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