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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Open University

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

927

Will Ghent fire Nathan Cofnas before 2028?

Aug 20, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

3714974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2220

450

If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?

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13.02%chance

318436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

965

Has at least one alien been to Earth?

May 30, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.91%chance

353877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

976

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

362918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

848

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.67%chance

231828

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

23

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

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21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Which of these franchises will be present at the Universal Studios park Universal United Kingdom at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51522

OptionProbability

James Bond

Harry Potter

Lord of the Rings

Paddington

Back to the Future

89

89

88

86

50

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2035?

Apr 1, 2:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.84%chance

151392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1774

665

Any other soccer league/tournament implements 4 quarters (2 hydration breaks) in the next year?

Jun 16, 1:34 AMJun 16, 1:33 AM

43.57%chance

8740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

879

[Metaculus] Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Oct 15, 5:13 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

31.42%chance

18574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

122

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12.87%chance

5220

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YES

NO

369

112

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Space
Science
UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs
Authors
5
1 year ago

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