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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

18 hours ago

Prediction markets for Open University

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.49%chance

7534086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

694

If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?

Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

318436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

965

Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2025?

Oct 21, 5:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

6.29%chance

254277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3470

521

Has at least one alien been to Earth?

May 30, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.24%chance

333822

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

927

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.16%chance

362883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1423

839

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM

21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2035?

Apr 1, 2:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.77%chance

141387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

666

Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?

Oct 23, 12:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

181098

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1551

843

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.75%chance

141061

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

154

Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?

Dec 10, 12:20 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

91%chance

11513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

942

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

5206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

355

114

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Space
Science
UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs
Authors
5
18 hours ago

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